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Inferential License

The normative permission to draw a conclusion from a given design — not merely the capacity to draw it.

Theory

Inferential license names the normative permission — not the mere capacity — to move from evidence to conclusion within a given practice. A radiologist, a jury, and a peer reviewer each hold different licenses, and each is answerable in different ways for their exercise.

Automated inference does not simply accelerate reasoning; it silently relocates license. When a model 'concludes,' someone must still stand behind the inference, but the ordinary chain from evidence through judgement to answerability is disturbed.

The concept provides a vocabulary for a question that classical epistemology tends to skip: not 'is this inference valid?' but 'who is licensed to draw it, in what setting, and to whom must they answer?'

Key publications

  • LLM experiments and inferential license (working paper).
  • Design–Inference Alignment (working paper).
  • The Locus of Answerability (working paper).

A continually updated record is available through the publications page.

Current work

  • A comparative study of inferential license across medicine, law, and public administration.
  • Work on delegated inference — the conditions under which license can and cannot be transferred to automated systems.
  • Integration with the partition thesis and second-order provenance in the wider programme.